Mental models and investing

 I have some mental models when it comes to investing. Cloning being one of them, distressed investing being another, looking for major trends in a sector being another one of them. Circle of competence is also one of them. These are mostly due to the influence of Mohnish Pabrai, a famous hedge fund manager and his regular talks online. 

One of the mental models is the dhandho method, which is minimal downside and huge upside. An example of what may be also called an asymmetric bet is TLT. Which is the 20 year US Bond market. There is really only one way for interest rates to go right now, which is down. So the value of bonds are going to go up.

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